

Reviews for Unwinnable Wars


The world is chaotic with analysts increasingly unable to make sense of a senseless world. From the Russian invasion of Ukraine to the sudden collapse of the Assad regime in Syria, one doesn’t need to look far to find a crisis that was incorrectly forecasted by intelligence analysts. Intelligence analysis fails far too often because the analytic methods it is built on are outdated and insufficient. As the global order becomes increasingly fragmented, violent, and flooded with unmanageable volumes of information, it will become increasingly difficult for intelligence analysts to identify truth from fiction. The current intelligence analysis methods books and resources are either prohibitively costly, or woefully outdated. Students of international and security studies need a new textbook on intelligence analysis methods, one that is both free for all and based on modern scientific progress.
Understanding Chaos gives students an open-source, high-quality textbook that explores the tools, techniques, and mentality needed to make sense of an increasingly senseless world.
Understanding Chaos gives readers more than just the technical tools for good analysis, it gives them a deep understanding of the underlying mentality and analytic courage required to “speak truth to power” by developing a mentality where you like the truth more than you like to be right. There’s little doubt that those involved in missing the major intelligence and analytic calls above had access to sophisticated analytic methods. Research and analysis occur within a complex ecosystem with forces pushing in many directions, most of which encourage finding the convenient false answer over the difficult truth. With this mentality in place, analysts will be empowered to leverage the full potential of the technical tools and techniques that follow.